The Cedar Creek Fire began August 1, 2022 when a lightning storm caused 20 to 30 new fires on the Willamette National Forest in Oregon. The fire is located in incredibly steep, inaccessible terrain about 3 miles west of Waldo Lake, north of Highway 58 and 15 miles east of the community of Oakridge.
A Type 1 Incident Management Team assumed command of the Cedar Creek Fire on August 5, 2022, at 8:00 p.m. Firefighters will use opportunities to safely engage and contain the fire while also providing for firefighter safety. Heavy equipment is improving access around the fire area and aircraft are available to support suppression efforts by moderating fire behavior.
|Current as of|
|Date of Origin||Monday August 01st, 2022 approx. 09:39 AM|
|Location||15 miles east of Oakridge, OR and 3 miles west of Waldo Lake|
|Incident Commander||Russ Lane, PNW2|
|Coordinates||43.726 latitude, -122.167 longitude|
Timber (Litter and Understory)
Timber (Grass and Understory)
Closed Timber Litter
Primary fuels the fire is burning in consist of tight canopy conifer stands with 10-20% standing dead and a heavy large fuel loading in the understory. Fuel loadings are moderate to heavy (5-10 tons per acre) and 1000-hour fuels are low at 8-10% (above the 95th percentile). Fire intensity is high due to dry 1000-hour fuel moistures. Fine fuels in the form of moss are the primary source for crown fire and spotting. Live fuel moistures are still high (early in the curing season for high elevation) and are slowing fire growth.
Fire behavior has remained active with scattered interior heat and pockets of intense heat on the perimeter. The influence from the hotter temperatures and lower humidity along with drying live/dead fuel moistures promotes gradual spread. Fire is creeping with short flame lengths (1-2ft), smoldering in heavy fuels resulting in isolated torching with very short-range spotting. Areas where backing has transitioned to flanking in the Black Creek drainage on the south side and spreading into the Waldo Wilderness Area on the north and east sides of the fire. The northwest side of the fire is moving into timber production lands where there is plantations and older harvest units. Fuels continue to show a drying trend.
Implement slow paced burn along the SW edge of the fire tying into the Black Creek Road (FS road 2421). Once anchor is established on the Black Creek Road continue burning operations to create control line along the Black Creek Road. Continue to identify and improve primary and secondary control lines/features and develop tactical plan to implement. Improving ingress/egress routes as well as fuels prep on major road systems near the fire. Utilize crews and heavy equipment to improve identified roads to control feature standards. Utilize equipment and provided prescription to create priority contingency lines on identified road systems to protect Oakridge.
|Projected Incident Activity|
12 hours: Fire remains active with pockets of active to very active activity including small group torching, with flanking and backing. Smoldering continues interior and in the larger fingers. Large fire triggers are present today. Thunderstorm development is present near the fire area.
24 hours: Nearby thunderstorms will taper off, potential for very active fire behavior will still be present.. Surface fire will continue to be active backing, flanking and short runs of torching. Spotting fire behavior is expected to be the primary reason for spreading. Areas of moderate activity with an increase in growth up to 500 ft.
48 hours: A return to seasonable weather pattern is expected in the area. Fire growth will be moderate. Surface fire may occur where fuel loadings are heavier, active backing, flanking, and short runs of torching.
72 hours: A more seasonable weather pattern will be in place, fuels drying is trending towards peak conditions for the season. Areas of intense heat remain active to very active including, smoldering, backing, flanking with short uphill runs. Spotting up to .2 miles can be expected.
On Wednesday we started off the day with much drier conditions aloft with humidities down to 30% at around 5000 feet. For lower elevations, we saw good humidity recoveries with a layer of smoke/low clouds near the mid slopes. As we got into the afternoon, we saw showers and thunderstorms develop near the fire with some breezy winds.
For Thursday, we are looking at mostly cloudy conditions with temperatures warming up to the upper 80s. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible again during the afternoon with gusty winds and lightning being the main concerns. The storms on Thursday look to be slightly wetter than Wednesday, but the chance of a wetting rain will still be low.