Calf Canyon

Hardwood Litter

Timber (Litter and Understory)

Narrative:

Spruce/fir and ponderosa pine forest types with a significant amount of dead standing and dead and downed fuels in the under story are currently the primary fuel type. Aspen groves and scrub oak exist at mid-elevations, with pinyon-juniper and grass-shrub types at the lowest elevations. Widespread green-up is underway in live woody fuels and herbaceous fuel at all elevations.

Minimal Smoldering

Narrative:

Scattered areas of light to moderate rain moved across the area. 24-hour rainfall amounts range from 0.5-1.25 inches. Temperatures this afternoon range from the mid-40s at higher elevations to the mid-50s elsewhere.

No detectable heat. Smoldering may persist in a few stump holes and large logs on the western flank in the Rio Del Padre and Pecos River drainages.

South Zone:

Branch XI - Unstaffed

Branch XV - Due to impending inclement weather operations will be minimal.

North Zone: Widespread rain will continue to limit the removal of heavy equipment from the shaded fuel break work areas and suppression repair in and around the fire's edge. The Rapid Response Group will maintain focus on road clearing and community assistance as able, crews will monitor identified hillside failure areas that have high chances for debris to cross roadways, while identified resources will respond to IA within the TFR. The likelihood of any rekindling of main fire within the perimeter is expected to remain low to non-existent, however, the there is a threat of new starts due to potential lightning activity.

12 hours:

Isolated showers continuing. Flooding and debris flow threat is low. Isolated smoldering possible in logs and stump holes on the western flank in the Pecos Wilderness. No surface spread. No smoke accumulation.

24 hours:

Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Flooding and debris flow threat is low. Isolated smoldering possible, but becoming increasingly unlikely, in logs and stump holes on the western flank in the Pecos Wilderness. No surface spread. No smoke accumulation.

48 hours:

Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Flooding and debris flow threat is low. Isolated smoldering possible, but becoming increasingly unlikely, in logs and stump holes on the western flank in the Pecos Wilderness. No surface spread. No smoke accumulation.

72 hours:

Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Flooding and debris flow threat is low. If any heat has survived the rain, this is the day that it might become detectable with the driest weather of the week. However, it is unlikely that any fire has survived the latest round of storms. No surface spread. No smoke accumulation.

Anticipated after 72 hours:

Monsoonal moisture returns by the end of the week and into the weekend bringing renewed potential for locally heavy rain. Overall threat for flooding and debris flows is low. Very isolated smoldering might still persist in a sheltered logs or stump hole on the western flank in the Pecos Wilderness. No surface spread. No smoke accumulation.

Warmer conditions will begin to move into the area Tuesday. The potential for widespread precipitation will lessen but isolated thunderstorms will remain possible in the afternoon and evening, mainly over the higher terrain, as weak monsoonal moisture remains in place through the end of the week before increasing again by the weekend.