Los Padres National Forest
U.S. Forest Service
1980 Old Mission Drive
Solvang, CA 93464
Veronica Garza, US Forest Service
Hours: 8:00am - 9:00pm
October 23, 2021
Crews monitored isolated pockets for potential holdover heat and continued suppression repair in areas identified by Resource Advisors.
Resources will contain, mop-up and backhaul equipment across all divisions. Crews continue suppression repair. In areas of continued suppression, crews will maintain the fire perimeter and suppress any areas threatening the perimeter.
Cooler weather and moister conditions are forecasted today with northerly winds gusting up to 40 mph. Rain develops Sunday and Monday, with light rain arriving Sunday and heavier rain falling Sunday evening and Monday. Expect rainfall totals of one to two inches and the potential for minor mud and debris flows.
Los Padres National Forest issued a closure of the Santa Barbara Ranger District in the area surrounding the fire. The closure expires Nov. 19, 2021. A map highlighting the closed area is here and at www.fs.usda.gov/lpnf.
The U.S. Forest Service’s Burned Area Emergency Responses (BAER) Team and CAL FIRE's Watershed Emergency Response Team (WERT) continue assessments. BAER members are now evaluating soil burn severity. With those scientific results, WERT scientists can identify hazards and make recommendations to mitigate and prepare for any future flooding, post-fire debris flows and landslides. Emergency managers will then use the science to warn the public of danger and direct them to safety.
Santa Barbara County issued a Burn Area Evacuation Warning, Oct. 22, for west of Las Flores Canyon, east of Mariposa Reina, south of West Camino Cielo, and down to the ocean, due to potential debris flow. Residents should be prepared to leave.
Stay connected for the latest accurate information:
|Current as of|
|Date of Origin||Monday October 11th, 2021 approx. 02:15 PM|
|Location||20 miles northwest of Santa Barbara within Refugio Canyon|
|Incident Commander||ICT3 Hector Medrano, US Forest Service, Los Padres National Forest|
|Coordinates||34.517 latitude, -120.131 longitude|
|Percent of Perimeter Contained||97%|
|Estimated Containment Date||Saturday October 30th, 2021 approx. 12:00 AM|
Chaparral (6 feet), short grass (1 foot) Hardwood Litter
Minimal Fire activity with isolated pockets of heat.
Resources will maintain containment, mop-up and backhaul of equipment in all divisions. Crews have begun suppression repair in high priority areas identified by Resource Advisors and where suppression efforts have ended. In areas of suppression, crews are maintaining the fire perimeter and suppressing areas of fire from burning islands that threaten the perimeter.
|Projected Incident Activity|
12 hours: Little growth potential exists with forecasted weather over the fire area overnight. Minimal fire activity expected, some potential for moderate activity in isolated pockets where hold-over heat exists. Any areas where pockets of unburned fuels, uncontained fireline and fire activity exists there is potential for increase in activity as fuel moistures decrease and dry out.
24 hours: Minimal fire activity expected, some potential for moderate activity in isolated pockets where hold-over heat exists. Any areas where pockets of unburned fuels, uncontained fireline and fire activity exists there is potential for increase in activity as fuel moistures decrease and dry out.
48 hours: Minimal fire activity expected, some potential for moderate activity in isolated pockets where hold-over heat exists. Any areas where pockets of unburned fuels, uncontained fireline and fire activity exists there is potential for increase in activity as fuel moistures decrease and dry out.
With the complexity of the incident and the threat to the CA Highway 101 corridor decreasing, resources have been released. Areas of the fire have transitioned from suppression to repair. Resources that are available have been transitioned from suppression to repair. Excess equipment will be reassigned or released. Today's acreage change was due to better mapping of the perimeter, not by growth of the fire past its footprint.
On Sunday and Monday, rain will develop across the area as a cold front sweeps across the incident. Light rain will develop late Sunday afternoon and evening with the period of heaviest rain falling late Sunday night and Monday morning. Rainfall totals of 1-2 inches are expected with hourly rainfall rates of 0.25-0.50 inches per hour. Minor, nuisance-type, mud and debris flows are possible. Additionally, there will be strong southerly winds, gusting 30-45 MPH, ahead of the cold front Sunday night and gusty northwest winds behind the front on Monday.