Summary: The Rough Patch Complex started July 29 when 20-plus lightning fires resulted from thunderstorms in the area. Several more fires were added to the Complex including the Jack Fire when another storm moved through August 1, bringing the total identified fires to 42. Northwest Incident Management Team (IMT) 13 (Type 2) managed the Complex along with the Jack Fire.
On August 16, 2021, the Great Basin Management Team 2 (Type 1 IMT) assumed command of the fires at 6:00 a.m. Total size of the Rough Patch Complex was 12,956 acres. Several smaller fires had been contained by this time, with the largest fires being the Chaos, Little Bend Creek, Near Minky and Buckhead.
On August 28, Northern Rockies Team 1 (Type 1 IMT) assumed command of the fires. The Rough Patch Complex then consisted of four fires: Chaos, Little Bend, Buckhead and Near Minky.
On September 10, Great Basin Management Team 2 (Type 1 IMT) assumed command of the Complex.
On September 23, Northwest Team 7 (Type 2 IMT) assumed command of the fire Complex at 6:00 a.m. The Rough Patch Complex consists of four primary fires, Chaos, Little Bend, Buckhead and Near Minky. The Smith Fire from the Devils Knob Complex is in close proximity to the Near Minky Fire but managed by another incident management team.
The Rough Patch Complex is being managed under a full suppression strategy. Public and firefighter safety is the number one priority. In addition, protection of communities, timber resources, private property, highway corridors and recreational improvements are key considerations.
Closures & Additional Information:
Fire closures are in place on BLM lands, the Umpqua National Forest, and Willamette National Forest. Please see the Closure tab above or click on the links below.
Fire Restriction information:
Temporary Flight Restrictions for the Rough Patch Complex and Jack Fire can be found here and here.
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|Current as of|
|Date of Origin||Thursday July 29th, 2021 approx. 08:55 PM|
|Incident Commander||Jason Loomis, Incident Commander Northwest Team 7|
|Coordinates||43.511 latitude, -122.676 longitude|
|Percent of Perimeter Contained||52%|
|Estimated Containment Date||Sunday October 31st, 2021 approx. 12:00 AM|
Closed Timber Litter
Timber (Litter and Understory)
Douglas-fir overstory with a mix of both high load conifer litter and understory of brush and small trees. Portions of the fire area include older high severity burn scars with mostly brush, snags, and downed tree boles.
Overall minimal fire behavior with isolated pockets of activity on the east flank of the Chaos and Little Bend fires.
Continue to monitor fire where indirect strategies are in place. Continue implementation of fire suppression repair in priority areas in advance of predicted wet weather pattern. Equipment is in place but lack of middle management preventing full scale operations.
|Projected Incident Activity|
12 hours: Overnight precipitation will reduce pockets of fire behavior to smoldering by morning.
24 hours: Wet weather through the day Monday with smoldering fire behavior. Smoke production decreased.
48 hours: Continued smoldering fire behavior Tuesday as showers continue. Minimal smoke production.
72 hours: Isolated smoldering fire. Minimal smoke production.
Anticipated after 72 hours: Isolated smoldering fire. Minimal smoke production.
Although Sunday was not as warm as recent days, high temperatures still managed to run a little above normal, with readings in the 70s to low 80s. Minimum humidity values dropped into the low to mid 20s for much of the fire area with a couple of sites falling into the teens. Winds were generally out of the southwest and became breezy in the afternoon. Gusts reached 20-25 at the ridge tops. The day started off overcast due to a decent overnight marine push. However, those low clouds broke by 1000 with a mostly sunny sky for the rest of the day. Clouds will increase Sunday night with rain arriving during the predawn hours on Monday. Rain is then expected to continue through the day on Monday before gradually tapering off Monday night. Showers will linger on Tuesday, although precipitation will be lighter and spotty. Showers will come to an end Tuesday evening. Total rainfall amounts of 0.8-1.4 inch expected across the Rough Patch Complex, with locally higher amounts possible. In addition to the rain and cloud cover Monday and Tuesday, temperatures will also be much lower with highs only in the 40s and 50s