Transition of the Monument Fire will transition back to the local units. The “Transition” back will be happening over the next couple of days with the Type 3 organization ending on Tuesday November 2, 2021 at 6pm. The local unit will take over the incident after that.
Today will be the last full shift for most of the resources. Resources will begin backhaul of any remaining items related to fire suppression activities.
The Trinity Alps Wilderness closure order was lifted and the Monument and River fire closure orders have been combined and updated. There are still areas within the Trinity Alps Wilderness that are affected by the updated closure order so please review it before planning a trip into the area.
The updated closure order can be found here, https://www.fs.usda.gov/detailfull/stnf/alerts-notices/....
This will be the last update.
|Current as of|
|Date of Origin||Friday July 30th, 2021 approx. 06:00 PM|
|Location||Del Loma, CA near Monument Peak|
|Incident Commander||Jim Yocoub, ICT3, Dan Michael, ICT3(T)|
|Coordinates||40.752 latitude, -123.337 longitude|
|Percent of Perimeter Contained||100%|
|Estimated Containment Date||Monday November 01st, 2021 approx. 08:00 AM|
Timber (Grass and Understory)
Timber (Litter and Understory)
Brush (2 feet)
Narrative: The primary carrier of fire at lower elevations is grass and shrub mix. In the mid to upper elevation the fuels are heavy forest litter with shrubs and small trees. There are pockets of heavy dead and down. Heavy Fuels will continue to smolder.
Where safe, the plan is to repair damage, minimizing negative environmental effects by stabilizing soil conditions and erosion along with restoring resource conditions caused by fire suppression activities following Suppression Repair Plan standards and removing hazard trees along road corridors.
|Projected Incident Activity|
12 hours: Minimal fire activity expected. Smoldering in standing snags and large downed logs continues.
24 hours TUESDAY: Showers, CWR 89 PERCENT, LAL 1, MAX TEMP 46-54, MIN HUM 67-82 PERCENT, WIND (20FT) SOUTH 5-12 MPH, MIXING HEIGHT 400-700FT AGL, TRANSPORT WINDS SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. Minimal fire activity expected. Smoldering stumps holes, and standing snags expected. Forecast wetting rains continuing and reducing remaining activity and possibly extinguish some remaining hotspots. Increasing possibility of debris flows and impacts to major travel routes and communities.
48 hours WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy, chance of rain showers in the morning, then slight chance of rain showers in the afternoon. CWR 23 PERCENT, LAL 1, MAX TEMP 53-61, MIN HUMIDITY 71-86, WIND (2OFT) SOUTH WINDS 5-6 MPH IN THE MORNNG BECOMING VARIABLE 2-4 MPH, MIXING HEIGHT 200-900 FT AGL, TRANSPORT WINDS SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH
72 hours: A warming and drying pattern will start Thursday.
Anticipation after 72 hours:
The 6-10 day outlook shows a below-normal chance of precipitation and an enhanced chance of above-normal temperatures.
Local IMT3 (Yacoub/Michael) in command. Resources were able to make good progress in clearing roads and suppression repair during breaks in the weather. BAER/USGS identified numerous drainages across the Monument fire footprint with a greater than 60% likelihood of producing a debris flow with rainfall rates of 1 inch/hour over a 15 minute period (0.25 inch in 15 minutes), and a number of basins with an 80-100% probability of producing a debris flow if these rainfall rates were observed.The USGS Debris Flow map will be posted to the ftp site and made available to ground resources.
Areas most prone include:
-Drainages along Highway 299 near and west of Big Bar
-Drainages along Soldier Creek Road
-Drainages along Hayfork Creek
Scattered showers will move across the area during the next 48 hours, with 6-hourly precipitation totals forecast to be at or below 0.2 inch. Otherwise, overnight relative humidity recoveries will be excellent through mid week. In addition, afternoon temperatures are expected to enter a warming trend, with 70s likely across lower valley elevations by Thursday.