Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest
U.S. Forest Service
215 Melody Lane
Wenatchee, WA 98801
Methow Valley Ranger District
Hours: M-F 8 a.m. to 4:30 p.m.
|Current as of|
|Date of Origin||Thursday July 08th, 2021 approx. 04:48 PM|
|Location||4 miles west, southwest from Mazama, WA|
|Incident Commander||Matt Ellis, Trainee Brian Campbell|
|Coordinates||48.568 latitude, -120.488 longitude|
|Percent of Perimeter Contained||87%|
|Estimated Containment Date||Sunday October 31st, 2021 approx. 12:00 AM|
Brush (2 feet)
Closed Timber Litter
Timber (Litter and Understory)
Narrative: Primary carrier of the fire is timber litter with large wood and moisture stressed brush.
Containment efforts are hampered by inaccessible and rugged terrain. Objectives could be met with favorable weather and continued resource availability.
Outstanding orders for HEQB and TFLD.
|Projected Incident Activity|
12 hours: Cooler temperatures and higher relative humidity have decreased spread potential. Little additional fire growth is anticipated in the next 12 hours.
24 hours: Seasonal temperatures and relative humidity values above 25% should limit spread potential. Interior pockets and the active fire perimeter in remote terrain are expected to have mostly creeping fire behavior with occasional tree torching.
48 hours: Seasonal temperatures and relative humidity values above 25% should limit spread potential. Interior pockets and the active fire perimeter in remote terrain are expected to have mostly creeping fire behavior with occasional tree torching.
72 hours: A dry cold front is expected to pass over the fire area on Wednesday, September 15, bringing the chance for high winds. Minimum relative humidity values are not currently expected to drop below 30% so the chances for significant spread potential are not high but additional fire growth is expected.
Anticipated after 72 hours: A significant rain event is expected next weekend (Sep. 17-19) bringing the chance for widespread wetting rains and cooler temperatures. Incident activity and potential movement are anticipated to be low.
Ownership acres in the fire:
Yet another weak cold front passed over the fires during the first half of the day. The main impact was considerable cloudiness over most locations, a few sprinkles near the western edge of the Cedar Creek Fire this morning and even an isolated shower and thunderstorm by early afternoon about 15 miles northeast of the Cub Creek 2 Fire. Mostly sunny skies prevailed during the latter half of the afternoon with high temperatures in the mid-60s over the ridges and middle to upper 70s in the valleys and northwest wind gusts of 15 to 20 mph.