Containment increases; Excessive heat and fire potential persist
Mescal Fire Update for June 13, 2021
Acres: 72,250 acres
Cause: Under Investigation
Total personnel: 336
Start Date: Monday, June 1, 2021
Location: 12 mi SE of Globe, AZ; 7 mi NE of Dripping Springs, AZ
Fuels: Desert Brush, Oak, and grass
Announcement: There has been no increase in fire size for the last three days on the Mescal Fire. Firefighters continue to work hard, and containment has increased to 85%. The Incident Management Team is repairing damage and preparing to transfer command of the incident over to the local Incident Type 4 Management Team on Monday at 8pm.
Overview: Crews on the Mescal Fire continue to monitor and patrol the fire’s perimeter and put out any hot spots near the fireline. All major roads and highways are open. There are no communities currently in evacuation status, due to the Mescal Fire. Beverly Hills, T 11 Ranch, El Capitan and Skill Center remain in "Set" status due to wildfire threats from the Telegraph Fire. Record breaking temperatures and extreme dryness have caused fire restrictions to be put in place across much of the region.
Fire Update: Crews have been successful in holding and improving the perimeter and are now working to repair areas. Crews are repairing impacts from firefighting activities across the area including bulldozer lines and other suppression tactics that occurred south of Highway 70 and near the communities of El Capitan (east of Highway 77) and Soda Canyon. The weather for the next 6 days will be characterized by record breaking heat, and extremely low humidity, which increase the risk of new fires. Please follow local fire restrictions due to the hot, dry, and windy conditions. Sparks from trailer chains and campfires, vehicles without spark arrestors, target shooting, improper disposal of smoking materials, and fireworks are among the top causes of wildfires. Visit the Arizona Interagency Wildfire Prevention website WildlandFire.AZ.gov/fire-restrictions to learn more about fire restrictions in your local area.
Weather: Hot, dry, conditions, including low relative humidity (RH) values near 1%, will continue to exacerbate the potential for a rapid spread of any new fires. Today, we will see temperatures ranging from 103-106 degrees across the fire area and up to 108 in San Carlos.
Evacuation Status Ready, Set, Go: The communities of Beverly Hills, T 11 Ranch, El Capitan and Skill Center remained in "Set" status due to wildfire threats from the Telegraph Fire. An area closure remains in effect for the Mescal Fire area. The closure includes both Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA) and Bureau of Land Management (BLM) lands.
Highway Closures: None at this time.
Smoke: Light to moderate smoke is occurring this morning primarily from the Telegraph Fire. Lesser smoke continues to be observed from the Mescal Fire, with most ground level smoke lifting between 900-1000 AM. As fire activity increases this afternoon, moderate smoke will push northeast from the Telegraph Fire. This will impact the US 60 corridor from Miami to Globe and US-70 to San Carlos, especially this afternoon when winds will push smoke more east-northeast.
Do I need to be concerned? While it’s always smart to pay attention to air quality where you live, some people may be at greater risk from particle pollution. They include:
• People with cardiovascular disease (diseases of the heart and blood vessels)
• People with lung disease, including asthma and COPD
• Children and teenagers
• Older adults
• Research indicates that obesity or diabetes may increase risk.
• New or expectant mothers may also want to take precautions to protect the health of their babies.
The Daily Smoke Outlook can be found at: https://fires.airfire.org/outlooks/EasternArizona
Values: Firefighter and public safety are the highest priorities on these fires. Firefighters are also working to protect the communities of San Carlos, Peridot, El Capitan, Drippings Springs, Soda Canyon, Skill Center and Beverly Hills; Mescal and T11 ranches, the powerline supplying San Carlos and Peridot, as well as historic and cultural sites within the fire area.
Mescal Fire Information Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Mescal-Fire-Information-101095532201192
Highway Closure Information: https://az511.gov/
· Gila County Health and Emergency Management Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/gilacohealthem/
· San Carlos Apache Tribe Emergency Response Commission: https://www.facebook.com/San-Carlos-Apache-Tribe-Emergency-Response-Commission-2515267281822769/
Ready, Set, Go: https://ein.az.gov/ready-set-go
Smoke Report: https://fires.airfire.org/outlooks/EasternArizona
San Carlos Apache Forest Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SCATFORESTRY
BLM-Arizona Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BLMArizona
Fire Restrictions in Arizona: WildlandFire.AZ.gov/fire-restrictions
|Current as of|
|Date of Origin||Tuesday June 01st, 2021 approx. 11:00 AM|
|Location||12 mi SE of Globe, AZ; 7 mi NE of Dripping Springs, AZ; 12 mi NE Hayden, AZ|
|Incident Commander||Mark Bernal|
|Coordinates||33.166 latitude, -110.664 longitude|
|Percent of Perimeter Contained||88%|
|Estimated Containment Date||Wednesday June 30th, 2021 approx. 12:00 AM|
Short Grass (1 foot)
Chaparral (6 feet)
Brush (2 feet)
Narrative: Fuels are composed of grass/mesquite in lower elevations, grass/brush in mid elevations, and brush/juniper/pinyon pine in higher elevations. A Robust grass crop from 2020 remains as there are no recent fire footprints within the fire area. Live fuels measured on 05/17 are a full month ahead of measured fuel moistures in 2020. Drought conditions have made all fuels available.
Fire behavior on the Mescal Fire exhibited minimal fire behavior today. High potential exists for a return to active to extreme fire behavior with any new initial attack or spot fires.
Crews will continue to hold, improve, and mop-up containment lines along the perimeter of the fire. Suppression repair will continue to be assess and repaired as necessary.
|Projected Incident Activity|
12 hours: Short duration fire progression through interior pockets of unburned fuel will continue. Strong afternoon winds and single digit RHs will keep the burn period open until after midnight.
24 hours: Residual unburned fuels along containment lines and interior pockets will continue to burn actively until they either run out of fuel or hit previously burned fuels. Increasing temps, low RH values, and extremely dry fuels will allow any heat source to continue to burn out and heat is expected to dissipate rapidly. Minimal spread along perimeter lines is expected.
48 hours: Continued hot, dry, and windy days will encourage burning within interior unburned pockets.
Continued heat dissipation is expected each shift.
72 hours: Excessive heat warnings are in the forecasts which will continue the hot, dry, and windy burn periods. There is no significant relief in the forecast. Even with lower winds, fuels and topography alignment will allow for active to extreme fire behavior.
Anticipated after 72 hours: Historical monsoonal patterns are 4-6 weeks out. This will keep the fire area under hot/dry conditions that will support continued fire activity.
SWA Team 5 retains responsibility to protect the communities of Skill Center, Beverly Hills, T 11 Ranch,
and El Capitan from wildfire threats. Threats from the Mescal Fire remain low, but the Telegraph Fire remains a moderate threat to these communities. Protection of these communities from the Telegraph
Fire will be coordinated with SWA Team 2 who has command of the fire.
Hot. Sunny then afternoon buildups with virga possible. Virga may result in erratic and gusty winds. Maximum temperatures will top out between 105 and 108 degrees at 4,000 feet to around 113 degrees at San Carlos. Minimum relative humidity values will be 4 to 6 percent. Winds will be terrain driven to the Southeast at 3 to 7 mph into early afternoon, then becoming West to Northwest 10 to 15mph with gusts to around 25 mph. Gusts to 40 mph possible near virga. The Haines Index will be a 6. Poor overnight recoveries and increased temps will continue to increase burn periods.