The Horsefly Fire became active August 6, 2019, and within 24 hours had grown to 1274 acres. It is holding at 1,350 acres. The fire is situated in densely timbered steep terrain with a heavy load of beetle killed fuels, Southwest and East of Lincoln, Montana. While fire activity has decreased significantly, fire spread is still possible. Fuels continue to smolder, although visible spots of smoke were rarely observed in the past 24 hours. Shane Martin’s Central Montana Type 3 Incident Management Team remains in command of this incident.
|Current as of|
|Date of Origin||Monday August 05th, 2019 approx. 12:30 PM|
|Incident Commander||Shane Martin|
|Coordinates||46.963 latitude, -112.441 longitude|
|Percent of Perimeter Contained||56%|
|Estimated Containment Date||Monday September 30th, 2019 approx. 12:00 AM|
Timber (litter and understory)
Fire is burning in gray stage beetle killed lodgepole and subalpine fir with a high component of dead and down. Understory of grass and shrubs has a higher live fuel moisture content at this time and won't carry unless 1000-hr fuels are present.
Fire activity is minimal across the fire area.
Northern Fire Border: Crews will continue to monitor for fire growth along the fire edge and to scout for further potential holding lines to minimize fire on private property. A heavy equipment crew will finish the check line from the North central edge of the fire to the North and tie it into MT Highway 279 by Wednesday afternoon.
Southern Border of the Fire: Crews will continue to hold and strengthen existing control lines, monitoring for hot spots, and beginning some landscape rehabilitation where practical.
|Projected Incident Activity|
12 hours: Minimal growth expected as isolated heat pockets continue to smolder.
24 hours: Frontal system may affect the area Wednesday night or Thursday, increasing West winds and potentially some thunderstorm activity.
48 hours: Continued warming/drying trend predicted may lead to an increase in fire behavior resulting in increased smoke production and fire spread.
72 hours: Continued warming/drying trend predicted may lead to an increase in fire behavior resulting in increased smoke production and fire spread.
Anticipated after 72 hours: Fire activity may increase as fuels continue to cure, and the drying trend continues.
Mostly sunny and dry conditions Wednesday will give way to increasing clouds in the evening with the slight chance of a thunderstorm late evening through early Thursday morning. Any thunderstorm will be capable of producing lightning and gusty and erratic outflow winds. After cold frontal passage during pre-dawn hours Thursday, West winds will occasionally become gusty especially toward ridge tops, with the chance for a shower or two during the later morning through afternoon period.