Prescott National Forest
U.S. Forest Service
Prescott, AZ 86303
FINAL Update - Goodwin Fire
July 10, 2017, 1800 pm
Location: Bradshaw RD of Prescott National Forest;14 miles south of Prescott, AZ (T12N R1W, S28)
Start date: June 24, 2017, 4:00 p.m.
Size: Approximately 28,516 acres
Percent Contained: 100%
Cause: Under Investigation
Vegetation: Predominantly dense chaparral and ponderosa pine stands in drainages.
Fire Summary: Transition from a Type 3 incident management team to a Type 4 Incident commander is scheduled to take place at 6 pm this evening. The Goodwin fire is now 100% contained however smokes may be seen for several weeks as brush well inside the interior of the fire perimeter may smolder but present no danger of escaping established containment lines. Firefighters will continue to patrol the fire perimeter for the next several days as added assurance for public safety. Increasing humidity and recent precipitation have assisted in the containment of the Goodwin fire but have added to the potential for post fire impacts from flooding. Increased water flows in the Big Bug Creek area and its tributaries along with Turkey Creek and its tributaries are anticipated bringing mud and debris flow along with ash.
Additional flood information is available from the Yavapai County Flood Control District (http://www.ycflood.com/).
Reminder:Closures still remain in effect for the area. For maps of the area closure that is still in effect on the Prescott National Forest visit: (www.fs.fed.us/r3/prescott) or Inciweb (https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/5278/).
The forecast for the foreseeable future calls for monsoon rains. Residents in these areas should monitor the National Weather Service (weather radio or Web sources http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz/), and/or local news media outlets for flash flood warnings due to increased risk of flooding in streams and washed below the Goodwin Fire burn area.
|Current as of|
|Date of Origin||Saturday June 24th, 2017 approx. 04:00 PM|
|Location||Bradshaw Ranger District, Prescott National Forest Approximate - Northern perimeter of fire 9 miles South of Prescott Valley|
|Incident Commander||Jeff Hammond, Prescott National Forest Type 3 Team|
|Incident Description||Predominantly Dense Chaparral And Ponderosa Pine Stands In Drainages|
|Coordinates||34.358 latitude, -112.373 longitude|
|Percent of Perimeter Contained||100%|
Chaparral (6 feet)
Short Grass (1 foot)
The primary carrier of the fire is chaparral, with heavy fuel concentrations of a significant dead
Pockets of unburned fuel inside the fire perimeter still remain in isolated areas. The fire received some moisture from afternoon thunderstorms.
Continue to implement the Suppression Damage Repair Plan and patrol existing containment lines.Fire suppression repair work to fireline perimeter. Coordinate with BAER team on support, access, and accountability.
|Projected Incident Activity|
12 hours:Interior islands of unburned fuels on Big Bug Mesa will continue to burn and smolder.
24 hours: Interior islands of unburned fuels on Big Bug Mesa will continue to produce smoke as fire slowly backs into them, but are unlikely to threaten containment lines. Larger diameter fuels consume down to ash, within 24 hours and will self-extinguish.
48 hours: Fewer areas of smoke visible from Highway 69, as fuels burn out naturally. Remaining pockets of heat on Big Bug Mesa, will be more than 1/4 mile away from containment lines and pose minimal threat.
72 hours: With the increase of rain events during the last two days, visible smoke will be minimal or non-existent.
Anticipated after 72 hours: Thunderstorms are possible throughout the area. Gusty and erratic winds may allow remaining smoldering fuels to shift from smoldering to active burning. Active fire spread is unlikely, due to inconsistent ground fuels outside of isolated pine drainages on Big Bug Mesa.
The local T3 Team continues to manage the incident and coordinate with a BAER team. The team continues to facilitate cooperators meetings specific to information sharing and post fire flood concerns.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms continuing into the weekend.Mostly sunny with additional moisture on Saturday which will result in stronger storms with wind gusts as high as 50 mph.