Brief update on October 5, 2022: We successfully completed a crew swap by shuttling out four smokejumpers and inserting five Entiat Initial Attack crew members who will be located at the Pasayten Airport cabin and be available for taking action if necessary in protecting the cabin.
All of the fires in the NW Pasayten Complex continue to burn with the most activity coming from the Parks and Kid Fire, especially where they have joined together. Monument 83 Lookout and repeater appear to be in good shape with no flames in the immediate vicinity. Light to moderate fire activity is occurring on the Skagit, Elbow, and Three Fools fires. The Shull Fire has minimal activity and the smoke is isolated to one corner of the fire.
|Current as of||Sun, 09/18/2022 - 08:10|
|Date of Origin|
|Location||NW Pasayten Wilderness, east of Ross Lake|
|Incident Commander||NIMO Team 2 (Watts)|
48° 54' 46'' Latitude
|Percent of Perimeter Contained||0%|
Timber (Litter and Understory)
Minimal fire activity on all fires in the complex, smoldering with little open flame and creeping.
Parks (12,163 acres): Minimal activity.
Kid (3,797 acres): Minimal activity.
Skagit (445 acres): Minimal activity. Module resources have completed a structure assessment plan on structures in the Hozomeen area and were brought out Friday via the Ross Mule National Park Service boat.
Three Fools (1,112 acres): Minimal activity.
Shull Creek (426 acres): Minimal activity.
Monitor fire progression to provide up-to-date location of fire progression and proximity to Management Action Points to inform the timing to implement point protection mitigation actions to protect identified critical values at risk.
|Projected Incident Activity||
12 hours: Minimal fire activity expected.
24 hours: Smoldering and creeping especially areas under direct sunlight.
48 hours: Continued drying and warming may result in areas of active fire behavior.
72 hours: Continued drying and warming may result in areas of active fire behavior.
A Long-Term Strategic Implementation Plan was presented to the Okanogan-Wenatchee NF on Sept 17.
Morning fog was followed by afternoon sunshine which filtered through high clouds over the complex today. Light winds were observed with relative humidity dropped into the 40-50 percent range. Skies will clear overnight as north winds funnel across the region. Gusty winds are possible especially on the ridges. Sunday will feature the first of several days through next week with mainly sunny skies, breezy afternoon winds, along with a slow warming and drying trend under west to north winds. Winds and humidity may bring elevated fire weather concerns towards mid-week, but no rain or critical fire weather is expected at this time. A strong low-pressure system moving into California is expected to mainly impact areas south of Washington State with heavy rainfall this weekend into next week.